Butterfly Option Strategy » Stock Trading

Options Trading Mastery: Vertical Spread Recap

admin — Fri, 22 Jan 2010 15:33:45 +0000

Vertical spreads can have various names. The same vertical spread could be called several different things by several different people. We have used two terms only: vertical call spread and vertical put spread. Each of these two spreads allows for two positions, long and short.
The long vertical call spread is constructed by buying one call option with a lower strike price while simultaneously selling another call option in the same month with a higher strike price. In a one to one ratio this trade, the long vertical call spread, is labeled a bullish trade. This means that when engaging into a long vertical call spread, the investor expects the stock to increase in value. An investor who engages in a trade with the expectation of the stock going up is said to be bullish. Thus, a long vertical call spread is a bullish trade.
For example, you are long a vertical call spread if you buy 10 August 35 calls and sell 10 August 40 calls. The proper way to describe this would be “long the August 35 – 40 call spread.” Using our previous example of the August 35 – 40 call spread, we assume that you bought the spread for $2.80. At expiration, you know that you can lose a maximum of $2.80 if the stock closes at $35.00 or below. At expiration, you will gain your maximum profit if the stock is $40.00 or over. Your maximum profit is defined as the difference between the two strikes minus the amount you paid for the spread.
Vertical spread’s maximum profit = (difference between the two strikes) – (amount paid for spread).
In this case, the difference between the two strikes equals $5.00. That $5.00 minus the $2.80 you spent on the spread leaves you with a maximum potential gain of $2.20, and represents a 78.5% return. The potential maximum loss is $2.80 or the full value of the investment.
The chart below shows what this spread will do over the course of a range of stock values.
A short vertical call spread is constructed by selling a call with a lower strike price, while simultaneously buying a call in the same month with a higher strike price. Since owning a vertical call spread created a long position for the owner, then the seller of the vertical call spread must be short. An investor who takes a short position anticipates a decrease in the price of a stock and is considered to be bearish on the stock. Thus, a short vertical call spread is considered a bearish position.
Using our example, say you are short 10 August 35 calls and long 10 August 40 calls. The short vertical spread is set up in the proper ratio and in the same month. For the sale of the spread you received $2.80. Your maximum potential gain is the $2.80 that you received from the sale and would be obtained if the stock closed $35 or below.
The maximum loss is calculated by taking the difference between the two strikes and subtracting the sales price of the spread from it. The difference between the two strikes is $5.00 (40-35). From that we subtract the price of the spread which is $2.80 and we are left with $2.20. This $2.20 is the maximum potential loss for a seller of this spread. The formula is given as: The difference between the two strikes – the price of the spread = total potential maximum loss.
The maximum profit for the seller of a vertical call spread is attained when the price of the stock closes at or below the lower priced strike. And the maximum loss is attained when the stock closes at the higher strike.
The vertical put spread functions in much the same way as the vertical call spread just in the opposite direction. Like the vertical call spread, the construction of the vertical put is done in a one to one ratio. The vertical put spread is constructed by purchasing one put and simultaneously selling another put in the same month but in a different strike.
A long vertical put spread is considered to be a bearish trade. This means that the purchaser of a vertical put spread is expecting the stock to go down. Further, a long vertical put spread is considered a debit spread which simply means that the purchaser had to put out money to buy the spread. Now, if the stock proceeds down, the spread’s value will expand. As stated before, a spreads maximum value is equivalent to the difference between the strikes. On the other hand a spreads minimum value is $0.
In the case of a put spread, maximum value is attained when the stock trades at or below the lower strike. Conversely, a put spread’s minimum value is attained when the stock trades to the higher strike.
For example, suppose we purchase the August 50-55 put spread for $3.00. To set up this trade, we would have bought the August 55 put and sold the August 50 put. If the stock trades down to 50 or below at expiration, the spread will be worth its maximum value of $5.00 (difference between the two strikes: 55-50).
Since you bought the spread for $3.00 and it is now worth $5.00, you have a $2.00 profit which represents a 66.6% profit on your $3.00 investment.
On the downside, the most you can lose is the $3.00 you spent for the spread and this will happen if the stock closes $55 or above. If the stock was to close at $55, the August 55 put would be worthless because it would be equal to the stock price thus valueless. The August 50 put would also be worthless being that it is $5.00 out-of-the-money. The difference between these two values would obviously be $0. Below, the chart shows the value of the spread at different stock prices.
A short vertical put spread is constructed by purchasing a put with a lower strike price while simultaneously selling a put with a higher strike in the same stock in the same month and in a one to one ration. For example buying one Feb 65 put while selling one Feb 70 put or buying 10 May 20 put while selling 10 May 30 put. It is considered to be a bullish trade because the seller expects the stock to go up or increase in value. Further, it is considered a credit spread meaning that you receive cash into your account upon execution of the trade.
Say you were to sell the June 50 – 60 put spread for $5.50. As the seller, your maximum profit will be the $5.50 you received for the sale of the spread. The maximum profit will be attained if the stock closes at $60.00 or above. At that level, both the June 50 and 60 puts will be worthless because both will be out-of-the-money. Thus, the spread will have no value.
The maximum loss of the trade will be defined by the difference between the two strikes minus the amount you received from the sale of the spread. In this case, the difference between the strikes is $10.00 (60 strike – 50 strike). The spread was sold for $5.50 so $4.50 is the maximum loss of the position to the seller.
In conclusion, vertical spreads provide the buyer and the seller an excellent percentage return while, at the same time, provide limited loss scenarios. Vertical spreads allow for two types of bullish trades, the purchase of a vertical call spread or the sale of a vertical put spread. On the other hand, vertical spreads offer two bearish trades; the purchase of a vertical put spread and the sale of a vertical call spread.
So, if you want to take advantage of a directional stock movement (either up or down) but you are not interested in taking a longer term, possibly capital intensive position, then look to using the vertical spread due to its favorable risk reward scenario.

Options Trading Mastery: Time Decay and Volatility Trading Opportunities

admin — Fri, 22 Jan 2010 02:39:19 +0000

When vertical spreads are mentioned, they quite often come with monikers such as ‘bull’ and ‘bear’. This lends most to think of vertical spreads as directional plays which is true. However, vertical spreads can be used to take advantage of two other potential trading opportunities – time decay and volatility movement.
If you are looking for a fully hedged way to take advantage of time decay, a vertical spread can be an excellent tool. Knowing a little about them now, you will recall that a vertical spread has a limited profit potential but also a limited loss scenario for both the buyer and the seller. So, how do we use this covered trade to take advantage of time decay.
At-the-money options have more extrinsic value than their similar month in-the-money or out-of-the-money options. Since it is an option’s extrinsic value that decays away over time, you could set up a vertical spread by selling an at-the-money option and buying either the out-of-the-money option (creating a credit spread) or buying an in-the-money option (creating a debit spread). If the stock holds tight to the out-of-the-money option, the option’s extrinsic value will decay away at a faster rate than either the in-the-money option or the out-of-the-money option due to the fact that the at-the-money option has more total extrinsic value to decay in the same amount of time as the others.
Creating the vertical spread by selling an at-the-money option and buying an out-of-the-money or in-the-money option as a hedge looks like a good idea, but now there are a couple choices. Should you do the put spread or the call spread? Should you buy it or sell it? The decision of what to do from here should first be based on which way you think the stock will move. Although you are playing for time decay and you are assuming an overall lack of movement, you can’t expect the stock not to move at all. So even though you are playing time decay, you still want to form an opinion about in which direction the stock is most likely to move. By doing this, you’ve now give yourself another way of making the trade profitable. You are playing for a lack of movement but now you can still win if you pick the right direction. This scenario presents you with two ways to win and only one to lose.
Now that you have picked which at-the-money strike you are going to sell and you’ve picked your anticipated stock position you still have a decision to make. Do you do the call vertical spread or the put vertical spread? Remember both the vertical call spread and a vertical put spread allow you to participate in either stock direction. For the bulls, you can buy a vertical call spread or sell a vertical if you think that the stock will go up. For the bears, you can buy a vertical put spread or sell a vertical call spread. For each direction there are two choices to decide from. One is a purchase, one is a sale. The best way to decide which to do, other than your own style or comfort ability is a simple risk/reward analysis.
By selecting an at-the-money option to sell as part of a vertical spread, an investor can execute a time decay play with a hedged position.
Much in the same way that a vertical spread can be used as a time decay play, it can be used as a volatility play. We stated earlier that an at-the-money option has more extrinsic value than any other option in its expiration month. This is due to a number of contributing factors including time but it is in no small way due to volatility. Volatility is a huge component of an option’s extrinsic value. An option’s dollar sensitivity to movements in implied volatility is known as vega. Obviously, an at-the-money option will have a higher vega (volatility sensitivity) then will an in-the-money or out-of-the-money option in the same month.
As volatility increases, the at-the-money option will increase in price to a greater degree than will an in-the-money or out-of-the-money option in the same month. As volatility increases, the at-the-money option will increase in price to a greater degree then will an in-the-money or out-of-the-money option whose vega’s will be less. Conversely, the at-the-money option will lose value at a greater rate than an in-the-money or out-of-the-money option should implied volatility decrease. The question now is how to use the vertical spread to take advantage of anticipated movements in implied volatility. Remember, the vertical spread affords you the luxury of being hedged on either side of the trade – both as a buyer and a seller of the spread.
So, if you think that implied volatility is likely to increase, you can set up a vertical spread by buying an at-the-money option and selling either the in-the-money or out-of-the-money option against it. Conversely, if you feel implied volatility will decrease; you can set up a vertical spread by selling an at-the-money option and buy either an out-of-the-money or an in-the-money option against it.
As to how to set it up, you would follow the same guidelines as you would for setting up a vertical spread to take advantage of time decay. Decide which direction you feel the stock would most likely move. If you feel the stock would most likely rise, you will have to decide between buying a vertical call spread and selling a vertical put spread.
Either way, the spread will have to be constructed with the at-the-money option being long if you feel volatility will increase or short if you feel volatility will decrease. If you feel the stock would most likely fall, you will have to decide between buying a vertical put spread and selling a vertical call spread. Again, either way, the spread will have to be constructed with the short option being the at-the-money.
As you can see, the vertical spread does not have to be used only in directional scenarios. It is very versatile allowing the investor several choices among a diverse group of potential uses. It also affords limited risk, albeit limited profit potential, to both the buyer and the seller.

Options Trading Lesson: Volatility

admin — Mon, 18 Jan 2010 03:06:44 +0000

To get a firm grasp of volatility’s effect on vertical spreads, let us examine three spreads against different implied volatilities while keeping the stock price constant at 67.5. These are the 60 – 65, 65 – 70 and 70 – 75 call spreads.
In-the-Money Vertical Spreads
Looking at the in-the-money spread (June 60 – 65), we see that as volatility increases, the value of the spread decreases. This is because with the increased volatility, the stock has a greater tendency to move. That brings a higher probability of the stock moving to a price where the June 60 – 65 call spread will no longer be in-the-money.
To adjust for higher volatility risk, the spread will have less value. A general rule of thumb is that as volatility increases, the value of an in-the-money vertical spread decreases. Conversely, an in-the-money vertical spread’s value increases as volatility decreases.
At-the-Money Vertical Spreads
A change in volatility has very little effect on the at-the-money vertical spread (June 65 – 70). With the stock price located equidistant from the two strikes, each strike’s volatility component will be very similar. Therefore, both options will increase equally once volatility increases. Being long on one and short on the other, the increase in values will offset each other so the spread’s value will hold fairly constant. When volatility increases or decreases, the value of an at-the-money vertical spread will stay reasonably constant.
Out-of-the-Money Vertical Spreads
The out-of-the-money vertical spread (June 70 – 75) has the opposite effect of the in-the-money vertical spread (June 60 – 65). As volatility increases, the value of the out-of-the-money vertical spread will increase. This is because the increase in volatility assumes that the stock price is more likely to move. Thus, the out-of-the-money vertical call spread is more likely to finish in-the-money.
Because of this spread’s increased potential to finish in-the-money, its value will increase. The spread’s value will decrease if volatility decreases. On the other hand, an out-of-the-money vertical spread’s value increases when volatility increases.
When trying to estimate how your spread will change in price with volatility movement, you must understand how the price and Delta of both of your options – long and short – will act.
It bears repeating again that each spread is different and will act differently depending on where the stock is in relation to the spread and what implied volatility does.
Median Value
An important thing to note is that when volatility increases, spreads crunch to their median value. For example, the median value of a $5.00 spread will be $2.50 while a $10.00 spread will have a $5.00 median value.
Crunching to the median value means that a $5.00 spread with a median value over $2.50 will lose value and head toward the median price. That happens with an increase in volatility. Meanwhile, increased implied volatility will make a spread with a value less than $2.50, increase in value and rise toward median value.
When implied volatility decreases, the value of a $5.00 spread will move away from the median price of $2.50. Therefore, when implied volatility decreases, all the spreads valued above $2.50 will increase in value toward maximum value. Spreads valued below $2.50 will lose value and head toward $0.
The Effect of Time
Time affects the spread differently depending on where the stock is. Look at the QCOM 65 – 70 call spread. Look at the spread’s reaction to the passing of time with the stock price of $65.50.
The chart below shows what the spread’s value does as expiration approaches.
Month Months to Expiration 65 – 70 call spread value Change from prior
Jan. 05 (8 month option) 2.06 N/A
Oct. 04 (5 month option) 2.05 -.01
Jul. 04 (2 month option) 1.92 -.13
June 04 (1 month option) 1.65 -.27
With the stock at $65.50, the spread has $.50 of intrinsic value. Holding the stock price frozen at $65.50 until expiration, the spread would be worth $.50. The table above shows that the spread loses value as time passes and decreases in value toward its $.50 intrinsic value.
Next, look at the 65 – 70 spread’s reaction to the passage of time with the stock priced at $67.50.
Month Months to Expiration 65 – 70 call spread value Change from prior
Jan. 05 (8 month option) 2.33 N/A
Oct. 04 (5 month option) 2.37 +.04
Jul. 04 (2 month option) 2.44 +.07
June 04 (1 month option) 2.47 +.03
With the stock price located directly in between the two strikes, the price of the spread holds at approximately $2.50 throughout the passing of time. Take note that time has very little effect on a vertical spread when the stock price lies halfway (equidistant) between the two strikes of the spread.
Now, set the stock price at $69.50 and observe how the spread reacts over time.
Month Months to Expiration 65 – 70 call spread value Change from prior
Jan. 05 (8 month option) 2.55 N/A
Oct. 04 (5 month option) 2.67 +.12
Jul. 04 (2 month option) 2.96 +.29
June 04 (1 month option) 3.27 +.31
This spread increases in value as time passes. With the stock at $69.50, the spread has an intrinsic value of $4.50. If the stock held at $69.50 until expiration, the spread would be worth $4.50 because that is the amount of the spread’s intrinsic value. As time passes, the spread’s value will increase to finally reach $4.50 at expiration.
In conclusion, time’s effect on a vertical spread is contingent on where the stock is in relation to the spread.

Trading Profit in Any Market Conditions

admin — Mon, 11 Jan 2010 02:26:00 +0000

To every investor, stock market is a challenge. One wishes to meet these, aiming high profits. Is it possible to stay on the pedestal of profits at all times? Is it possible to beat the market with your every move? The answer is clearly in the negative. Profits and losses are part of this game.

Profit is all about to understand the market conditions clearly, before trading and doing right things at the right time. This is said easier than done. For a new investor, the beginning has to be on cautious premises. Choose blue-chips companies, whose reputation is above board and which have been consistently paying dividends and bonus/right issues. Alternatively, in the course of your research, you spot some companies whose share prices are low, it means that you have managed to beat the market and this investment is likely to fetch you good profits.

When you are unable to catch the trends of the market, and move away from them, instead of beating the market, you are beating the retreat. In such conditions, take advice from reputed stock analysts, who can tender appropriate advice, on the basis of the inputs secured from the fundamental and technical analysis. No method provides one with 100% guarantee of success, but workout such plans so that the odds are in your favor. The results of the research before you provide confidence, you understand the market better, and catch the right signals. In addition, your psychology and sentiments are important part of your trading and they are the practical elements in making money. When you provide suitable cut loss limits, they will keep you off trouble and you are able to prevent major losses.

Profit from share trading is not a profound science. The methods to deal with the exchange are amazingly simple. Only you need to employ them effectively and in a timely manner. If you are able to catch the signals of early stage of price rise movements, one can take advantage of the maximum profit opportunity with minimum chances of risk and losses.

Any condition is a good condition for a shrewd investor. The market bows before such investors, and provides them with a series of profit opportunities, whether the shares are moving up, down or sideways. Those are the masters of option trading. Such people wear ‘all weather proof jackets.’ They are mostly stock trading millionaires.

In any given market conditions, as far as possible, avoid day trading. Howsoever great are your strategies, risk looms large in such trades. Intra-day trading in the same security is fraught with great risk. Some one with limited resources and trading experience and with low risk tolerance should not enter this trade zone at all. Those who claim large profits from day trading, are perhaps are conducting their clandestine business to promote a particular share of the company, with some hidden agenda. Even in the normal course of day trading, your competitors are professional licensed traders engaged by securities firms, institutional finance companies and the commercial banks. A small investor stands no chances of engaging them in voluminous trades.

For immediate profits, option trading strategy is less risky and the chances of profits are more. There are many kinds of option trading strategies. Call Option, Sell Naked Put Option, Bull Put Option, Bear Put Spread, Straddle, Covered Call, and Short Straddle etc. Use these strategies as per your specific portfolio needs.

When you think of making profits in all market conditions, it is important for the investor to know, in which condition the market is passing through at a given moment. Unpredictability of the market is well-known to all investors. It so happens, when the well is full, you do not have the drums to store water, and when you have enough empty drums, the well is empty! Such are the tantrums of the share market; one fails to appreciate, its behavior. You can not question it with your reason, only accept the fact and respect the trends. There is no other way to do business dealings in the share market.

Option Trading – Understanding Options and Risk

admin — Fri, 08 Jan 2010 02:57:44 +0000

When it comes to option trading, the most important lesson to retain is an understanding of what’s actually being traded. The real commodity in any option trading strategy isn’t the underlying stock itself, and it has little to do directly with phrases such as implied volatility, net debit, net credit, strike price, or expiration date. Fundamentally, what’s really being traded when an option transaction is enacted are degrees of risk.

Option trading, in and of itself, is not inherently risky. Options are simply tools. Imagine a big dial labeled, Options. You turn the dial one way and your risk goes down (as do your potential rewards). You turn the dial the other way and your risk goes up (as do your rewards, either in the form of upfront cash, or in the form of potential profits). In short, you can use options (for the right price) to reduce your risk, and you can use options (if the price is right) to generate lucrative income or receive other compensation in exchange for taking on someone else’s risk.

Let’s look at some scenarios that show each side of the risk trade.

Using Options to Reduce Risk

There are various option trading strategies you can employ to reduce the risk to your stock holdings. The price you will have to pay may come in the form of an actual cash payout to purchase that protection, or it may involve exchanging some of your future potential profits in order to acquire that protection.

Here are two trades that will reduce your risk:

Using Options to be Compensated for Assuming Someone Else’s Risk

If you are willing to assume someone else’s risk you can be compensated–and sometimes quite handsomely–for your trouble. The compensation may take the form of sharing the capital gains on someone else’s stock, or it may simply take the form of a cash payment.

Here are two types of trades in which you are compensated to assume someone else’s risk:

Conclusion:

The option trade examples above are all relatively simple but they illustrate the true nature of stock options. Trafficking in options is essentially trafficking in risk. No matter how elaborate and complex an option trade becomes, the core equation of risk is still present.

Developing and maintaining an awareness of this reality of options is crucial to your own option trading success. Whether you’re looking to reduce your risk or to be compensated for assuming someone else’s, a conscious awareness of what’s really happening in any given options transaction is invaluable. Once you know what’s really at stake, you’re in a much better position to consciously look for ways to accomplish your objectives as efficiently as possible. The outsourcer of risk will seek to reduce risk as cheaply as possible, and the assumer of risk will seek the highest compensation for the risk assumed.

Stock Trading for Bold Brave Investors

admin — Sat, 26 Dec 2009 14:09:10 +0000

Stock trading is one of the last true meritocracies. All that matters for your investment success are your own decisions. Stock trading is a precision-based activity and one tiny mistake in judgment could send you plummeting right to the bottom and result in a huge loss.
Likewise, the opposite could happen. You may make a great buying decision that will put you on the path to riches. Traditional stock trading is done at stock exchanges, which are places where buyers and sellers meet and decide on a price, although electronic trading is gaining in popularity. Stock trading is affected by how well the economy is doing and by basic supply and demand considerations.
Stock Trading is a get rich slow process. Money can be made, but it takes time. Stock trading is something that interests many people because it offers them a chance to make money without breaking into a sweat. In addition, it has a lot of excitement attached to it especially when using short term strategies that help pit traders against the stock market.
Stock Trading is trading stocks and shares of different types of companies and organization at the stock exchange. In every country, there is a stock exchange where various companies get their shares listed, when they arrange to raise required funds by means of issuing shares.
Stock trading is a very competitive field and in order to succeed you need to FOCUS on a set of simple strategies that you can implement without hesitation. The real “secret” of the stock market game is enclosed within the trading set ups and market signals you rely on to decide when to buy or when to sell shares. Stock trading is a business (because it is done for making money).
So as in a business, in stock trading, one needs to complete solid planning before making any buy/sell/trade. Stock trading is viewed by some people as a very complicated matter. This is regarded by many as an arena better reserved for those who have extensive exposure and experience in stock trading.
Stock trading is a game in which you cannot afford to be average. Thousands of new and inexperienced traders are being charged hundreds, even thousands of dollars by scam artists and self proclaimed experts for dubious stock picking services and mechanical buy and sell signal generators.
Stock trading is a relatively simple activity compared with other professions, particularly with the tools available in today’s Internet world. It is certainly within your abilities, and as you educate yourself on and build your skills, you’ll find that your fears subside as your confidence grows.
Researching a stock and then buying online it is one part of the story. The other part being how to plan a trade with an exit strategy? You must research the risks attached to online trading to make sure you are prepared for the worst. Be determined and goal orientated.
Exchange traded funds are good to use for trading and investing. By keeping trading simple, there is less stress and more opportunity to profit. Exchange Traded Funds, also known as ETFs, are index funds traded on the major stock exchanges just like stocks. An index fund involves a collection of securities, much like mutual funds, except that ETFs differ from mutual funds in some distinctive ways.
Options are bets about the future price movement of exchange traded securities. The prospect of unusually high returns always signals unusually high risk so be careful about trading options. Timing is everything.
Options are a great way to both earn and lose a lot of money. If you’re interested in involving yourself in the more unpredictable, risky, and spontaneous part of the stock market then trading options is something you should investigate. Option strategy is about selection of the best stock opportunities and following your signals. Here, you can achieve success if you are acquainted with the correct option trading strategy .
There are online resources available that will provide you with free simulated stock and option trading. You will easily find enough information to start your trading venture. You can practice trading stocks, options, spreads, futures, short sells, and so forth. Just run a search for “demo stock trading accounts” and you will find a good list to research.
Stock and option trading is a big game in many ways. But as it is a game involving the exchange of money if you play you need to take the game seriously.

The Stock Replacement Covered Call Strategy

admin — Wed, 16 Dec 2009 15:48:16 +0000

Back in 2003, (October and November ‘03), the giant biotech Amgen (AMGN) came under some intense pressure, trading down about $12.00 before it found what appeared to be a decent level of support, and began to consolidate. At this level, anyone interested in going long Amgen at a discounted price would be advised to do so. Implied volatility was high coming off this precipitous drop, which caused premiums in the options to increase considerably.
This scenario can be a very attractive for covered call sellers or buy-writers. On Tuesday, December 2, 2003, Amgen was trading at $58.90, the December 60 call was trading at $1.30, and there were only two weeks left until expiration.
Let’s assume that you wanted to take advantage of this opportunity but you would be unable to participate in it due to capital requirements. The stock was trading at $58.90 and you did not have sufficient funds to support buying the stock at that price. After all, the purchase of just 1000 shares would cost $58,900.00.
This is the time to consider using a strategy called stock replacement. In many instances, an insufficient amount of funds in the investors account can mean the loss of a golden opportunity when dealing with high dollar priced stocks.
So, an alternative to purchasing the stock outright is to find a way to replace the actual stock with something else which is not as expensive. In this case, a deep in-the-money call would do just that.
When a call is deep in-the-money, meaning that the strike price of the call is much lower than the stock price, the delta of the call approaches 100. This means that there is close to a 100% chance that this option will finish in-the-money.
Because of this, the option will trade just like the stock; penny for penny, dollar for dollar (in a theoretical 100 delta scenario.) If you recall, the term delta was mentioned when describing the option in question. Delta is the first derivative of the stock and it has a three pronged definition. The first is percentage change.
The delta is given as a percentage change, meaning how much in percentage terms the option price will change with a movement in the stock. A 50 delta option will move 50% the amount the stock does. If the stock moves $1.00, than the option moves $.50. A 30 delta option moves $.30 on a $1.00 movement in the stock, and so on.
Delta can also be defined as percent chance. This is used to describe the percentage chance that the option will end up in-the-money. A 90 delta option has a 90% chance of finishing in-the-money.
Finally, delta can also be defined as hedge ratio which is the amount of deltas needed to properly hedge a position. These concepts will be discussed in more detail in future Options University courses, but for now it is sufficient to just understand these basic concepts.
It was important to explain the meaning of delta to understand that the deep in-the-money call would perform and act just like the stock. One way to determine if the call you will select is in-the-money enough for your purpose is the delta. A delta in the mid or high 90’s is an ideal candidate.
The selection of the proper in-the-money call to use is a critical element in the success of this strategy. In order to obtain an accurate delta of all options under consideration for stock replacement use, you can go to any number of web sites or consult your broker. If all else fails, there is a little trick of the trade that can be used to aid in selecting a call that is deep enough in-the-money to suit the stock replacement criteria.
To do this, check the quote of the corresponding put (i.e. the December 47.5 put if you are looking at the December 47.5 call for stock replacement). If there is no bid quoted for the put, then the call is deep enough in the money to consider it for a stock surrogate. There are several reasons for this being an effective strategy, which we wont cover here, but for the purposes of this discussion, it is enough to know that this method does work.
So, with the stock at $58.90, the December 47.5 calls met the criteria for stock replacement. This call had a mid to high 90’s delta and its corresponding put had no bid. The December 47.5 call was trading at $11.45 or $.05 over parity. By purchasing this option, you would be equivalently buying the stock at $58.95 (the strike price plus the option price).
Let’s say that you bought the December 47.5 call for $11.45. If a total of 10 calls were purchased (an equivalent of 1000 shares), you would lay out a total of $11,450 to fulfill your stock requirement on this buy-write. If you had purchased the stock outright, you would have spent $58,900. The difference between the capital needed to purchase the stock outright ($58,900) and the capital needed to buy the in-the-money call ($11,450) is the key to this trade.
Now that you have your stock (via the calls you bought above), it is time to sell covered calls against this position, which would be the December 60 calls for $1.30. If the stock stays at its present level, you would then capture the $1.30 premium that you sold the December 60 calls for because they finished out-of-the-money at expiration.
The $1,300 profit in this scenario represents an 11.35% return in only two weeks. This well out-performs the return garnished on a $58,900 investment which would only be a 2.21% return in the two weeks, if you purchased the actual stock.
As we know, the maximum profit of $2.35 will be attained if the stock reaches $60.00 or above. This return comes from the $1.30 you received in the premium for the sale of the now worthless December 60 call plus a $1.05 profit from the December 47.5 call you purchased. With the stock now at $60.00, the December 47.5 call is worth parity, which is $12.50.
You purchased the call for $11.45 thus you received a $1.05 capital gain in the option. This profit of $2350.00 represents a 20.5% return in two weeks verses a 3.98% return in two weeks, if you had purchased the actual stock.
As you can see, you are getting the same overall dollar return on much less money – which creates a much higher percentage rate of return. This is one of the positive leverage effects that the proper usage of options can provide. When you initiate this trade, you are buying and selling two different options simultaneously which is known as a spread. A spread is a trade which involves the buying of one option against the sale of a different option simultaneously and will be covered briefly in the next section.
By buying the December 47.5 calls for $11.45 and then selling the December 60 calls at $1.30, you are buying the December 47.5 December 60 call spread for $10.15. This type of spread is known as a vertical spread.

How to Calculate the Volatility of the Spread in Options Trading

admin — Mon, 14 Dec 2009 03:27:21 +0000

To be able to calculate the volatility of the spread, we must equalize the volatilities of the individual options.
First, let’s move the June calls by moving June’s implied volatility down from 40 to 36, a decrease of four volatility ticks. Four volatility ticks multiplied by a vega of .05 per tick gives us a value of $.20. Next we subtract $.20 from the June 70 option’s present value of $2.00 and we get a value of $1.80 at 36 volatility. Now the two options are valued at an equal volatility basis.
Looking at this first adjustment where we moved the June 70’s volatility down to 36 from 40, we have a value of $1.80 at 36 volatility. The August 40 call has a value of $3.00 at 36 volatility. So the spread will be worth $1.20 at 36 volatility.
If you wanted to move the August 70 calls instead, you would take the August 70 call vega of .08 and multiply it by the four tick implied volatility difference.
This gives you a value of $.32 that must be added to the August 70 call’s present value in order to bring it up to an equal volatility (40) with the June 70 call. Adding the $.32 to the August 70 call will give it a $3.32 value at the new volatility level of 40 which is the same volatility level as the June 40 calls.
Now, our spread is worth $1.32 at 40 volatility. August 70 calls at $3.32 minus the June 70 calls at $2.00 gives the price of the spread at 40 volatility.
It does not make any difference which option you move. The point is to establish the same volatility level for both options. Then you are ready to compare apples to apples and options to options for an accurate spread value and volatility level.
Since we now have an equal base volatility, we can calculate the spread’s vega by taking the difference between the two individual option’s vegas. In the example above, the spread’s vega is .03 (.08 – .05). The vega of the spread is calculated by finding the difference between the vega’s of the two individual options because in the time spread, you will be long one option and short the other option.
As volatility moves one tick, you will gain the vega value of one of the options while simultaneously losing the vega value of the other. Thus the spread’s vega must be equal to the difference between the two options vega’s. So, our spread is worth $1.20 at 36 volatility with a .03 vega or $1.32 at 40 volatility with a .03 vega.
Going back to our original spread value of $1.00 with a vega of .03, we can now calculate the volatility of that spread.
We know the spread is worth $1.20 at 36 volatility with a vega of .03. So, we can assume that the spread trading at $1.00 must be trading at a volatility lower than 36.
To find out how much lower we first take the difference between the two spread values which is $.20 ($1.20 at 36 volatility minus $1.00 at ? volatility). Then we divide the $.20 by the spread’s vega of .03 and we get 6.667 volatility ticks. We then subtract 6.667 volatility ticks from 36 volatility and we get 29.33 volatility for the spread trading at $1.00.
We can also determine the volatility of the spread as the spread’s price changes. Let’s fix the spread price at $1.30. To calculate this, we must first take the value of the spread ($1.20 at 36 volatility) and find the dollar difference between it and the new price of the spread ($1.30). The difference is $.10. This dollar difference must now be divided by the vega of the spread. The $.10 difference divided by the .03 vega gives you a value of 3.33 volatility ticks. Then add the 3.33 ticks to the 36 volatility and you get 39.33 as the volatility for the spread trading at $1.30.
Let’s double-check our work by calculating the volatility the other way.
This time we will do the calculation by moving the August 70 calls up to the equal base volatility of the June 70 calls. As calculated earlier, the August 70 calls will have a value of $3.32 at 40 volatility.
The June 70 calls are worth $2.00 at 40 volatility. Thus the spread is worth $1.32 at 40 volatility.
Now let’s again move the spread price to $1.30, $.02 lower than the value of the spread at 40 volatility. As before, we take the difference in the prices of the spread. The result is $.02 ($1.32 – $1.30). Then, divide $.02 by our spread’s vega of .03 (remember that the vega of the spread is equal to the difference between the vega of the two individual options). $.02 divided by .03 gives us a value of .67. That .67 must be subtracted from our base volatility of 40. That gives us a 39.33 (40 – .67) volatility for the spread trading at $1.30. This volatility matches our previous calculation perfectly.
At first glance, you might be wondering why we went through all of these calculations. With the June 70 calls at 40 volatility, price $2.00, vega .05 and the August 70 calls at 36 volatility, price $3.00, vega .08 why not just take an average of the volatility? This would give us a 38 volatility for the spread with a price of $1.00 when in actuality $1.00 in the spread represents a 29.33 volatility.
This would be almost a nine tick difference which represents a whopping 30% mistake! Because, as stated earlier, vega is not linear; you can not weigh each month evenly and just take an average of the two months. For argument’s sake suppose you did. Let’s say you found the difference of the vegas of the options and came up with a spread vega of .03 which is correct. However, when you try to calculate the spread’s volatility and price you would have difficulty.
Now, recalculate the spread with the trading price of $1.30, or $.30 higher than your value at 38 volatility. Divide that $.30 higher difference by the spread’s vega of .03. You get a 10 tick volatility increase. Add that increase to the base 38 volatility. That would mean you feel the spread is trading at 48 volatility instead of a 39.33 volatility! This type of mistake could be very, very costly. Remember, apples to apples, oranges to oranges. It doesn’t matter which option’s volatility of the spread you move as long as you get both options to an equal base volatility.

Options Trading Lessons: Using Base Volatility

admin — Sun, 13 Dec 2009 02:37:11 +0000

Spread traders must understand how to properly calculate accurate volatility. In order to get accurate volatility levels, you must first determine a base volatility for the two options involved in the spread. Getting a base volatility must be done because different volatilities in different months cannot and do not get weighted evenly mathematically.
Since they are weighted differently, you cannot simply take the average of the two months and call that the volatility of the spread. It is more complicated than that.
The problem relates to calculating the spread- volatility with two options in different months. Those different months are usually trading at different implied volatility assumptions. You cannot compare apples with oranges nor can you compare two options with different volatility assumptions.
It is important to know how to calculate the actual and accurate volatility of the spread because the current volatility level of the spread is one of the best ways to determine whether the spread is expensive or cheap in relation to the average volatility of the stock.
There are several ways to calculate the average volatility of a stock. There are also ways to determine the average difference between the volatility levels for each given expiration month. Volatility cones and volatility tilts are very useful tools that aid in determining the mean, mode and standard deviations of a stock’s implied volatility levels and the relationship between them.
The present volatility level of the spread is comparable to those average values and a determination can then be made as to the worthiness of the spread. If you now determine that the spread is trading at a high volatility, you can sell it. If it is trading at a low volatility, you can buy it. You must know the current trading volatility of the spread first.
To accurately calculate volatility levels for pricing and evaluating a time spread, the key is to get both months on an equal footing. You need to have a base volatility that you can apply to both months. For instance, say you are looking at the June / August 70 call spread. June’s implied volatility is presently at 40 while August’s implied volatility is at 36. You cannot calculate the spread’s volatility using these two months as they are. You must either bring June’s implied volatility down to 36 or bring August’s implied volatility up to 40. You may wonder how you can do this.
You have the tools right in front of you. Use the June Vega to decrease the June option’s value to represent 36 volatility or use August’s Vega to increase the August option’s value to represent 40 volatility. Both ways work so it does not matter which way you choose.
We will use some real numbers so that we may work through an example together. Let’s say the June 70 calls are trading for $2.00 and have a .05 Vega at 40 volatility. The August 70 calls are trading for $3.00 and have a .08 Vega at 36 volatility, so the Aug/June 70 call spread will be worth $1.00. To be able to calculate the volatility of the spread, we must equalize the volatilities of the individual options.
First, let’s move the June calls by moving June’s implied volatility down from 40 to 36, a decrease of four volatility ticks. Four volatility ticks multiplied by a Vega of .05 per tick gives us a value of $.20. Next, we subtract $.20 from the June 70 option’s present value of $2.00 and we get a value of $1.80 at 36 volatility. Now the two options are valued at an equal volatility basis.
Looking at this first adjustment where we moved the June 70’s volatility down to 36 from 40, we have a value of $1.80 at 36 volatility. The August 40 call has a value of $3.00 at 36 volatility. The spread will be worth $1.20 at 36 volatility.
If you wanted to move the August 70 calls instead, you would take the August 70 call Vega of .08 and multiply it by the four tick implied volatility difference. This gives you a value of $.32 that we must add to the August 70 call’s present value in order to bring it up to an equal volatility (40) with the June 70 call. Adding the $.32 to the August 70 call will give it a $3.32 value at the new volatility level of 40, which is the same volatility level as the June 40 calls. Now, our spread is worth $1.32 at 40 volatility. August 70 calls at $3.32 minus the June 70 calls at $2.00 gives the price of the spread at 40 volatility.
It does not make any difference which option you move. The point is to establish the same volatility level for both options. Then you are ready to compare apples to apples and options to options for an accurate spread value and volatility level.
Since we now have an equal base volatility, we can calculate the spread’s Vega by taking the difference between the two individual option’s Vegas. In the example above, the spread’s Vega is .03 (.08 – .05). The Vega of the spread is calculated by finding the difference between the Vega’s of the two individual options because in the time spread, you will be long one option and short the other option.
As volatility moves one tick, you will gain the Vega value of one of the options while simultaneously losing the Vega value of the other. The spread’s Vega must be equal to the difference between the two options Vega’s, so, our spread is worth $1.20 at 36 volatility with a .03 Vega or $1.32 at 40 volatility with a .03 Vega.
Going back to our original spread value of $1.00 with a Vega of .03, we can now calculate the volatility of that spread. We know the spread is worth $1.20 at 36 volatility with a Vega of .03. Therefore, we can assume that the spread trading at $1.00 must be trading at a volatility lower than 36.
To find out how much lower we first take the difference between the two spread values, which is $.20 ($1.20 at 36 volatility minus $1.00 at ? volatility). Then we divide the $.20 by the spread’s Vega of .03 and we get 6.667 volatility ticks. We then subtract 6.667 volatility ticks from 36 volatility and we get 29.33 volatility for the spread trading at $1.00.
We can also determine the volatility of the spread as the spread’s price changes. We will fix the spread price at $1.30. To calculate this, we must first take the value of the spread ($1.20 at 36 volatility) and find the dollar difference between it and the new price of the spread ($1.30). The difference is $.10. The Vega of the spread must now divide this dollar difference. The $.10 difference divided by the .03 Vega gives you a value of 3.33 volatility ticks. Then add the 3.33 ticks to the 36 volatility and you get 39.33 as the volatility for the spread trading at $1.30.
Let us double-check our work by calculating the volatility the other way. This time we will do the calculation by moving the August 70 calls up to the equal base volatility of the June 70 calls. As calculated earlier, the August 70 calls will have a value of $3.32 at 40 volatility. The June 70 calls are worth $2.00 at 40 volatility, so the spread is worth $1.32 at 40 volatility.
Now, move the spread price to $1.30, $.02 lower than the value of the spread at 40 volatility. As before, we take the difference in the prices of the spread. The result is $.02 ($1.32 – $1.30). Then, divide $.02 by our spread’s Vega of .03 (remember that the Vega of the spread is equal to the difference between the Vega of the two individual options). $.02 divided by .03 gives us a value of .67. We must subtract that .67 from our base volatility of 40. That gives us a 39.33 (40 – .67) volatility for the spread trading at $1.30. This volatility matches our previous calculation perfectly.
At first glance, you might be wondering why we went through all of these calculations. With the June 70 calls at 40 volatility, price $2.00, Vega .05 and the August 70 calls at 36 volatility, price $3.00, Vega .08 why not just take an average of the volatility? This would give us a 38 volatility for the spread with a price of $1.00 when in actuality $1.00 in the spread represents a 29.33 volatility.
This would be almost a nine-tick difference, which represents a whopping 30% mistake! As stated earlier, Vega is not linear. You cannot weigh each month evenly and just take an average of the two months. For argument’s sake suppose you did. Let’s say you found the difference of the Vegas of the options and came up with a spread Vega of .03, which is correct. However, when you try to calculate the spread’s volatility and price you would have difficulty.
Now, recalculate the spread with the trading price of $1.30, or $.30 higher than your value at 38 volatility. Divide that $.30 higher difference by the spread’s Vega of .03. You get a 10-tick volatility increase. Add that increase to the base 38 volatility. That would mean you feel the spread is trading at 48 volatility instead of a 39.33 volatility! This type of mistake could be very, very costly. Remember, apples to apples, oranges to oranges. It does not matter which option’s volatility of the spread you move as long as you get both options to an equal base volatility.

Introducing The Amazing Stock Repair Strategy

admin — Sat, 12 Dec 2009 05:36:41 +0000

Introducing the Amazing Stock Repair Strategy. This strategy involves buying one at-the-money call option while simultaneously selling two out-of-the-money call options on the same stock, in the same month.
The construction of this trade is critical. First, you must make sure to purchase exactly the equivalent amount of at-the-money call options as shares of stock you own. Remember, each option contract is worth 100 shares. So if you own 500 shares, then you would purchase 5 at-the-money calls. If you owned 3000 shares then you would purchase 30 at-the-money calls.
Now that you have purchased the correct and exact amount of at-the-money calls, you then must sell exactly twice the amount of out-of-the-money calls. Again, it is imperative that you sell exactly two times the amount of out-of-the-money calls as the amount of at-the-money calls you own.
Looking at the case in which you owned 500 shares and bought 5 at-the-money calls, you would then have to sell 10 out-of-the-money calls to properly construct the Stock Repair Strategy. Likewise, in the case where you owned 3000 shares and bought 30 at-the-money calls, you would then have to sell 60 out-of-the-money calls for proper Stock Repair Strategy construction.
Here’s why. The 500 shares of stock you have, along with the 5 call options you just bought, will result in an even spread trade. The reason this is important is because without owning the equivalent of 10 calls (or 1000 shares of the underlying stock), then the 10 out of the money calls you sell would be considered ‘naked’ and may require an additional margin requirement.
Selling naked calls is considered risky. However, by owning 1000 shares of stock (or 10 call options) at a lower price, your risk is limited because your sold calls are considered ‘covered.’
The chart below shows some examples of the correct Stock Repair Strategy ratios.
The total dollar value of the options’ trade should be neutral or very close to neutral. In this way, you can establish the position without putting out any more money or at least very little.
In some cases, you can even put on this trade for a credit, whereby you can sell the out of the money calls for more than you paid for the at the money calls. This scenario is ideal, because then you also profit from this part of the trade – also known as a credit spread. (Remember, you will be selling the out of the money calls in a 2:1 ratio to the at the money calls you purchase.)
The out of the money calls will invariably be cheaper than the calls you buy, but the 2:1 ratio makes up for the difference in pricing. The easiest way to explain this is by example. Again, we will go back to our XYZ example. You have purchased 500 shares of XYZ for $40.00. The stock then trades down to $30.00 leaving you with a $5,000 loss.
At this point, at $30.00, you would construct the Stock Repair Strategy. (Option prices are for example purposes only.) You would buy 5 February 30 calls for $1.50 and sell 10 February 35 calls for $.75 each. This strategy is known as a 1 by 2 spread.
Now that the position is in place, you are long 500 shares of XYZ, long 5 February 30 calls and short 10 February 35 calls. Just to clarify, if you were long 1000 shares of stock, then you would also be long 10 February 30 calls, and short 20 February 35 calls. Remember, the ratio of stock, to purchased calls, to sold calls is 1:1:2.